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2 Reasons to Like CINF (and 1 Not So Much)

CINF Cover Image

Cincinnati Financial trades at $149.03 and has moved in lockstep with the market. Its shares have returned 6.4% over the last six months while the S&P 500 has gained 4.1%.

Is CINF a buy right now? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does Cincinnati Financial Spark Debate?

Founded in 1950 by independent insurance agents seeking stable market options for their clients, Cincinnati Financial (NASDAQ:CINF) provides property casualty insurance, life insurance, and related financial services through independent agencies across 46 states.

Two Positive Attributes:

1. Net Premiums Earned Skyrockets, Fueling Growth Opportunities

Markets consistently prioritize net premiums earned growth over investment and fee income, recognizing its superior quality as a core indicator of the company’s underwriting success and market penetration.

Cincinnati Financial’s net premiums earned has grown at a 10.9% annualized rate over the last two years, better than the broader insurance industry.

Cincinnati Financial Quarterly Net Premiums Earned

2. BVPS Growth Demonstrates Strong Asset Foundation

We consider book value per share (BVPS) a critical metric for insurance companies. BVPS represents the total net worth per share, providing insight into a company’s financial strength and ability to meet policyholder obligations.

Cincinnati Financial’s BVPS increased by 11.9% annually over the last five years, and growth has recently accelerated as BVPS grew at a decent 13.3% annual clip over the past two years (from $68.33 to $87.77 per share).

Cincinnati Financial Quarterly Book Value per Share

One Reason to be Careful:

Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

Insurance companies earn revenue from three primary sources:

  • The core insurance business itself, often called underwriting and represented in the income statement as premiums
  • Income from investing the “float” (premiums collected upfront not yet paid out as claims) in assets such as fixed-income assets and equities
  • Fees from various sources such as policy administration, annuities, or other value-added services

Over the last five years, Cincinnati Financial grew its revenue at a sluggish 2.7% compounded annual growth rate. This wasn’t a great result, but there are still things to like about Cincinnati Financial. Cincinnati Financial Quarterly RevenueNote: Quarters not shown were determined to be outliers, impacted by outsized investment gains/losses that are not indicative of the recurring fundamentals of the business.

Final Judgment

Cincinnati Financial’s positive characteristics outweigh the negatives, but at $149.03 per share (or 1.6× forward P/B), is now the right time to buy the stock? See for yourself in our comprehensive research report, it’s free.

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